Canada election results live: Polls, analysis, reaction and all the latest updates | The Independent LiveUpdated Tuesday 22 October 2019 03:38 Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau faces being forced from power as the country votes in parliamentary elections. Polls have closed across the nation after a fractious 40-day campaign. It is expected to be a
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau faces being forced from power as the country votes in parliamentary elections.
Polls have closed across the nation after a fractious 40-day campaign.
It is expected to be a close result, with Mr Trudeau’s Liberal Party potentially losing their majority, forcing them to rely on a coalition to form a government.
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The polls may project Liberals coming out with a minority, but the popular vote isn’t looking so positive. Liberals are currently at 35.6%, according to Global News, with Conservatives close behind at 32.4%. This is a remarkably low popular vote percentage for a leading Canadian party, particularly for a prime minister running for a second term.
There is still a possibility of a Liberal majority government, but current data is all pointing towards Trudeau’s party having to form an alliance to stay in power.
A Liberal minority government is now being projected by both CBC and Global News data.
As results pour in, Liberals are taking the edge, and are close to the point where no one can catch up with them.
Trudeau’s Liberals aren’t the only ones rejoicing. Bloc Québécois (BQ) are currently in third place. The party is devoted to Quebec nationalism and the promotion of Quebec sovereignty.
Supporters at the Liberal headquarters have burst into applause and cheers as exit polls show Justin Trudeau holding on to power – however it is still not clear what the government will look like. There are many ridings too close to call with narrow margins, and it is not yet known whether this will be a majority or minority government.
If we take a look at CBC polling data, here’s where the projections stand:
This means Justin Trudeau will be holding on to the government.
However this is of course just polling data at the moment, with a lot of these riders with incredibly close results. There is only one confirmed seat so far, and that’s for the Liberals.
As the final polls close in Canada, let’s recap where the results stand.
Liberals are in the lead but have likely lost their majority tonight, according to polling data from Global News. Trudeau’s party are projected to get 82 ridings, Conservatives 57, Bloc Québécois 12, New Democratic Party 9 and Green 1.
Some polls are already predicting a minority government, with Trudeau’s Liberals failing to gain a majority. However it’s still early to tell, and Liberals could still make a majority happen.
Unless the Conservatives get close to the 170 mark, it’s unlikely they’ll be able to form a coalition government. The NDP have ruled out joining the Conservatives, but leader Jagmeet Singh has said he would “absolutely” consider partnering with Trudeau’s Liberals.
Here’s Justin Trudeau and his wife Sophie Gregoire Trudeau, sons Xavier and Hadrien, and daughter Ella-Grace watching the initial results come in.
More people are saying they are being turned away from voting in Ottawa, despite being at the station long before polls close.
It looks like Health Minister Ginette Petitpas Taylor has kept her seat in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe. What’s interesting, however, is that her Green rival is not far behind her, a trend that’s being seen across several ridings so far.
Polls are still open in Ottawa, but according to Twitter some voters are being turned away at the polling stations.
NDP have won their first seat in Atlantic Canada. According to these early polls Jagmeet Singh’s party have taken their first riding, St John’s East. This is a seat the party did not expect to lose to Liberals in 2015, and was part of Trudeau’s red wave.
British Columbia – a key region in this election – is the last region to close voting, expected to happen at about 10pm EST.
Liberal Seamus O’Regan is the first minister to be re-elected according to polls, with 50% of the vote in his Newfoundland and Labrador riding. He has been serving as Minister of Indigenous Services.
As I’m sure we’ll be saying a lot tonight, it’s still very early with lots more polls to come in.
Initial polling data is putting Newfoundland at nearly all red. However interestingly the popular vote is showing a big difference from 2015. Liberals had 65% of the popular vote in 2015, with Conservatives only at 10%. However data so far shows the parties at 51% and 34% respectively.
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